Warning: Oct. 2024-Feb. 2025: Southern region at risk of Rain Bomb in many areas

Dr. Seri" reveals that Thailand has entered La Nina, warns that in October 2024-February 2025, southern Thailand is at risk of Rain Bomb in many areas, points out that Thailand's disaster warning equipment is still insufficient, recommends that the government urgently support local areas, both personnel, knowledge, and budget. Dr. Seri Supratid, Chairman of FutureTales Lab MQDC and climate change expert, gave an interview to Thai News Agency about Thailand's unstable weather, which has caused floods and heavy rain (Rain Bomb) more frequently this year, starting from Chiang Rai, Chiang Mai, Phayao, and most recently in Ban Rai District, Uthai Thani Province last night. He said that when humidity comes together, it is a factor that causes Rain Bomb. In addition, Thailand is now entering La Niña, which increases the chance of Rain Bomb. However, Rain Bomb is more likely to occur in the sea than on land because the humidity in the sea is higher. As for the flood in Uthai Thani Province last night, even though it is not close to the sea geographically, it draws moisture from the southwest monsoon in that direction. As for the Rain Bomb that occurred in the North, even though it is not close to the sea, there is a monsoon trough passing through, which also draws moisture from land. However, when Thailand enters the La Niña state, it will result in continuous rain in the South from October onwards. This year, there is a chance that it will rain longer than other years until February next year. Therefore, we must be careful that Rain Bombs may occur in many areas until the middle of next year when Thailand will return to the El Niño state, which will reduce the chances of Rain Bombs. Dr. Seri continued that disaster preparedness is essential, especially in preparing equipment and increasing the number sufficiently. It can be seen that currently, specific data on specific areas cannot be specified in detail. For example, the Meteorological Department forecasts that rain will fall in 60 percent of the area, but it cannot specify the specific level to the district or sub-district level. Therefore, equipment should be distributed to local communities because communities will know the risk areas in their local areas better. Therefore, local communities should be strengthened. It is necessary to purchase equipment or allocate a budget to carry out the work itself. However, if it is urgent and in line with the current situation, there should be a central purchasing center and training of knowledge for local personnel, which will make it faster. 'According to the figures from the Department of Disaster Prevention and Mitigation, Thailand has 40,000 communities that are disaster risk areas. They can allocate equipment to 20 communities per year, which means it will take 2,000 years. This shows that if we let it remain as it is now, disasters will continue to occur. Therefore, it is necessary to increase the number of communities from the previous 20 to 200. If we increase it to 2,000 communities per year, it will be possible to do so within 10 years,' said Dr. Seri. Source: Thai News Agency